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Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Analyzing the AAA 400

1 - Matt Kenseth (No. 20 Dollar General Toyota)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 107.5
2015 Rundown
· Four wins, 11 top fives, 17 top 10s,
· Led 646 laps
· Average Finish of 13
Dover International Speedway Outlook:
· Two wins, 15 top fives, 21 top 10s; one pole
· Average finish of 12.619, seventh-best
· Average Running Position of 8.820, second-best
· Driver Rating of 107.5, second-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 144.467, second-fastest
· 6928 Laps in the Top 15 (82.4), third-most
· 560 Quality Passes, third-most

2 - Denny Hamlin (No. 11 FedEx Office Toyota)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 85.2
2015 Rundown
· Two wins, ten top fives, 14 top 10s,
· Led 500 laps
· Average Finish of 13.6
Dover International Speedway Outlook:
· Three top fives, six top 10s; three poles
· Average finish of 19.263, 22nd-best
· Average Running Position of 14.886, 14th-best
· Driver Rating of 85.2, 14th-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 143.802, 12th-fastest
· 4681 Laps in the Top 15 (61.6), 14th-most
· 429 Quality Passes, 11th-most

3 - Carl Edwards (No. 19 ARRIS Toyota)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 98.4
2015 Rundown
· Two wins, four top fives, ten top 10s,
· Led 342 laps
· Average Finish of 15.6
Dover International Speedway Outlook:
· One win, eight top fives, 12 top 10s
· Average finish of 10.286, third-best
· Average Running Position of 11.315, fifth-best
· Driver Rating of 98.4, fourth-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 144.094, sixth-fastest
· 5741 Laps in the Top 15 (68.3), seventh-most
· 566 Quality Passes, second-most

4 - Joey Logano (No. 22 Shell Pennzoil Ford)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 83.6
2015 Rundown
· Three wins, 16 top fives, 21 top 10s,
· Led 863 laps
· Average Finish of 8.5
Dover International Speedway Outlook:
· Three top fives, eight top 10s
· Average finish of 13.615, ninth-best
· Average Running Position of 15.948, 15th-best
· Driver Rating of 83.6, 15th-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 143.694, 15th-fastest
· 3402 Laps in the Top 15 (65.4), ninth-most
· 365 Quality Passes, 16th-most

5 - Jimmie Johnson (No. 48 Lowe's Chevrolet)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 122.3
2015 Rundown
· Four wins, 11 top fives, 17 top 10s,
· Led 467 laps
· Average Finish of 12.1
Dover International Speedway Outlook:
· Ten wins, 15 top fives, 20 top 10s; three poles
· Average finish of 5.857, series-best
· Average Running Position of 6.402, series-best
· Driver Rating of 122.3, series-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 144.766, series-fastest
· 7464 Laps in the Top 15 (88.8), series-most
· 463 Quality Passes, eighth-most

6 - Ryan Newman (No. 31 Quicken Loans Chevrolet)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 87.6
2015 Rundown
· Five top fives, 13 top 10s,
· Led 19 laps
· Average Finish of 13.5
Dover International Speedway Outlook:
· Three wins, six top fives, 13 top 10s; four poles
· Average finish of 15.619, 13th-best
· Average Running Position of 13.110, 10th-best
· Driver Rating of 87.6, 13th-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 143.759, 13th-fastest
· 5300 Laps in the Top 15 (63.0), 12th-most
· 409 Quality Passes, 13th-most

7 - Kurt Busch (No. 41 Haas Automation Chevrolet)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 90.6
2015 Rundown
· Two wins, nine top fives, 15 top 10s,
· Led 765 laps
· Average Finish of 10.6
Dover International Speedway Outlook:
· One win, six top fives, eight top 10s
· Average finish of 17.714, 16th-best
· Average Running Position of 13.335, 11th-best
· Driver Rating of 90.6, 11th-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 143.953, ninth-fastest
· 5095 Laps in the Top 15 (60.6), 15th-most
· 480 Quality Passes, seventh-most

8 - Brad Keselowski (No. 2 Wurth Ford)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 91.1
2015 Rundown
· One win, six top fives, 19 top 10s,
· Led 607 laps
· Average Finish of 11.2
Dover International Speedway Outlook:
· One win, four top fives, four top 10s; one pole
· Average finish of 13.091, eigth-best
· Average Running Position of 12.813, ninth-best
· Driver Rating of 91.1, 10th-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 143.923, 10th-fastest
· 2822 Laps in the Top 15 (64.1), 10th-most
· 271 Quality Passes, 18th-most

8 - Martin Truex, Jr (No. 78 Furniture Row/Visser Precision Chevrolet)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 91.3
2015 Rundown
· One win, seven top fives, 17 top 10s,
· Led 536 laps
· Average Finish of 13.2
Dover International Speedway Outlook:
· One win, one top five, nine top 10s; two poles
· Average finish of 15.316, 12th-best
· Average Running Position of 14.331, 12th-best
· Driver Rating of 91.3, ninth-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 143.899, 11th-fastest
· 4792 Laps in the Top 15 (63.0), 11th-most
· 449 Quality Passes, 10th-most

10 - Jeff Gordon (No. 24 AARP MEMBER ADVANTAGES Chevrolet)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 96.1
2015 Rundown
· Three top fives, 13 top 10s,
· Led 208 laps
· Average Finish of 16
Dover International Speedway Outlook:
· Five wins, 18 top fives, 26 top 10s; four poles
· Average finish of 12.095, sixth-best
· Average Running Position of 11.739, sixth-best
· Driver Rating of 96.1, seventh-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 144.230, fourth-fastest
· 6477 Laps in the Top 15 (77.0), fourth-most
· 588 Quality Passes, series-most

11 - Jamie McMurray (No. 1 Nature Made Chevrolet)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 78.6
2015 Rundown
· Two top fives, seven top 10s,
· Led 14 laps
· Average Finish of 15
Dover International Speedway Outlook:
· One top five, six top 10s
· Average finish of 19.190, 21st-best
· Average Running Position of 17.309, 17th-best
· Driver Rating of 78.6, 18th-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 143.370, 21st-fastest
· 3569 Laps in the Top 15 (42.4), 18th-most
· 369 Quality Passes, 15th-most

12 - Dale Earnhardt, Jr (No. 88 NATIONWIDE Plenti Chevrolet)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 81.7
2015 Rundown
· Two wins, 12 top fives, 17 top 10s,
· Led 203 laps
· Average Finish of 10.3
Dover International Speedway Outlook:
· One win, six top fives, 11 top 10s; one pole
· Average finish of 16.952, 15th-best
· Average Running Position of 17.558, 18th-best
· Driver Rating of 81.7, 16th-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 143.744, 14th-fastest
· 3970 Laps in the Top 15 (47.2), 17th-most
· 379 Quality Passes, 14th-most

13 - Kyle Busch (No. 18 Interstate Batteries Toyota)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 105.0
2015 Rundown
· Four wins, six top fives, ten top 10s,
· Led 659 laps
· Average Finish of 11.2
Dover International Speedway Outlook:
· Two wins, nine top fives, 13 top 10s
· Average finish of 15.190, 11th-best
· Average Running Position of 11.235, fourth-best
· Driver Rating of 105.0, third-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 144.394, third-fastest
· 6470 Laps in the Top 15 (76.9), fifth-most
· 539 Quality Passes, fourth-most

14 - Paul Menard (No. 27 Knaus / Menards Chevrolet)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 68.8
2015 Rundown
· Two top fives, four top 10s,
· Led 1 laps
· Average Finish of 16.7
Dover International Speedway Outlook:
· Three top 10s
· Average finish of 18.375, 17th-best
· Average Running Position of 19.590, 20th-best
· Driver Rating of 68.8, 23rd-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 143.117, 26th-fastest
· 1710 Laps in the Top 15 (26.7), 23rd-most
· 213 Quality Passes, 20th-most

15 - Kevin Harvick (No. 4 Budweiser / Jimmy John's Chevrolet)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 88.5
2015 Rundown
· Two wins, 18 top fives, 22 top 10s,
· Led 1460 laps
· Average Finish of 9
Dover International Speedway Outlook:
· Four top fives, 13 top 10s; one pole
· Average finish of 14.048, 10th-best
· Average Running Position of 14.760, 13th-best
· Driver Rating of 88.5, 12th-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 143.686, 16th-fastest
· 5267 Laps in the Top 15 (62.6), 13th-most
· 454 Quality Passes, ninth-most

16 - Clint Bowyer (No. 15 5-Hour Energy Toyota)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 92.7
2015 Rundown
· Two top fives, 11 top 10s,
· Led 8 laps
· Average Finish of 16.7
Dover International Speedway Outlook:
· Two top fives, 12 top 10s
· Average finish of 11.737, fourth-best
· Average Running Position of 12.190, seventh-best
· Driver Rating of 92.7, eighth-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 144.079, eighth-fastest
· 5649 Laps in the Top 15 (74.3), sixth-most
· 497 Quality Passes, sixth-most

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series 2015 Top 16 at Dover International Speedway

Driver
Races
Poles
Wins
Top Fives
Top 10s
DNFs
Average Finish
Driver Rating
 
 
1
Matt Kenseth
33
1
2
15
21
6
13.6
107.5
 
2
Denny Hamlin
19
3
0
3
6
3
19.3
85.2
 
3
Carl Edwards
22
0
1
8
12
0
10.6
98.4
 
4
Joey Logano
13
0
0
3
8
1
13.6
83.6
 
5
Jimmie Johnson
27
3
10
15
20
2
7.9
122.3
 
6
Ryan Newman
27
4
3
6
13
2
13.6
87.6
 
7
Kurt Busch
30
0
1
6
8
6
18.6
90.6
 
8
Brad Keselowski
11
1
1
4
4
0
13.1
91.1
 
9
Martin Truex Jr
19
2
1
1
9
2
15.3
91.3
 
10
Jeff Gordon
45
4
5
18
26
5
11.4
96.1
 
11
Jamie McMurray
25
0
0
1
6
0
17.8
78.6
 
12
Dale Earnhardt Jr
31
1
1
6
11
1
16.1
81.7
 
13
Kyle Busch
21
0
2
9
13
5
15.2
105.0
 
14
Paul Menard
16
0
0
0
3
0
18.4
68.8
 
15
Kevin Harvick
29
1
0
4
13
1
14.7
88.5
 
16
Clint Bowyer
19
0
0
2
12
0
11.7
92.7
 
* – Based on last 21 races at Dover International Speedway (2005 – 2015).



Dover International Speedway Data
Season Race #: 29 of 36 (10-04-15)
Track Size: 1-mile
Banking/Turn 1 & 2: 24 degrees
Banking/Turn 3 & 4: 24 degrees
Banking/Frontstretch: 9 degree
Banking/Backstretch: 9 degree
Frontstretch Length:  1,076 feet
Backstretch Length:  1,076 feet
Race Length: 400 laps / 400 miles

Top 10 Driver Ratings at Dover
Jimmie Johnson........................ 122.3
Matt Kenseth............................. 107.5
Kyle Busch............................... 105.0
Carl Edwards.............................. 98.4
Kyle Larson................................ 97.6
Greg Biffle.................................. 96.2
Jeff Gordon................................ 96.1
Clint Bowyer............................... 92.7
Martin Truex Jr............................ 91.3
Brad Keselowski......................... 91.1
Note: Driver Ratings compiled from 2005-2015 races (21 total) among active drivers at Dover Motor Speedway.

Qualifying/Race Data
2014 pole winner:
Kevin Harvick, Chevrolet
162.933 mph, 22.095 secs. 09-26-14

2014 race winner:
Jeff Gordon, Chevrolet
130.541 mph, (03:03:51), 09-28-14

Track qualifying record:
Brad Keselowski, Ford
164.444 mph, 21.892 secs. 05-30-14

Track race record:
Mark Martin, Ford
132.719 mph, (03:00:50), 09-21-97

STATISTICAL ADVANCE

Dover International Speedway:
History
·         The official opening of Dover International Speedway, then called Dover Downs International Speedway, was in 1969.
·         The first NASCAR Sprint Cup race was held on July 6, 1969 – won by Richard Petty.
·         The first two races at Dover were 300 miles. The race length was changed to 500 miles in 1971.
·         The track surface was changed to concrete in 1995.
·         The race length was changed to 400 miles beginning with the second race in 1997.
·         The track name was changed to Dover International Speedway in 2002.

Starts
·         There have been 91 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series races at Dover International Speedway, one race in 1969 and 1970, two races per year since 1971.
·         385 drivers have competed in at least one NASCAR Sprint Cup Series race at Dover International Speedway; 279 in more than one.
·         Ricky Rudd leads the series in starts at Dover with 56. Jeff Gordon leads all active drivers with 45 starts; followed by Matt Kenseth with 33.
·         Three NASCAR Sprint Cup Series active drivers have made their first career start at Dover International Speedway: Matt Kenseth (9/20/98), Kurt Busch (9/24/00) and David Ragan (9/24/06).
·         Ryan Newman leads all active drivers in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series in average starting position at Dover with a 9.926.

Poles
·         David Pearson won the inaugural Coors Light pole at Dover in 1969 with a speed of 130.430 mph. 
·         39 drivers have Coors Light poles at Dover, led by David Pearson with six. Jeff Gordon and Ryan Newmanlead all active drivers in poles with four each.

Poles
·         Nine drivers have won consecutive Coors Light poles at Dover. David Pearson holds the record for most consecutive poles at Dover with three; from 1973 to the spring race of 1974.
·         Two active drivers have posted consecutive Coors Light poles at Dover: Ryan Newman (fall 2005 and spring 2006), and Denny Hamlin (fall 2012 and spring 2013).
·         Youngest Dover pole winner: Jeff Gordon (06/04/1995 – 23 years, 10 months, 0 days).
·         Oldest Dover pole winner: Mark Martin (06/01/2012 – 53 years, 4 months, 23 days).
·         Two active drivers have posted their first career NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Coors Light pole at Dover International Speedway: Matt Kenseth (06/02/02) and Michael Waltrip (06/03/1991).      

Wins
·         34 different drivers have won at Dover International Speedway, led by Jimmie Johnson with 10 wins (2002 sweep, fall 2005, 2009 sweep, 2010 fall, spring 2012, fall 2013, spring of 2014 and spring of 2015). 
·         12 drivers have posted consecutive wins at Dover International Speedway, including three consecutive byDavid Pearson (fall 1972 and 1973 sweep), Rusty Wallace (fall 1993 and 1994 sweep) and Jeff Gordon (fall 1995 and 1996 sweep).
·         Youngest Dover winner: Kyle Busch (06/01/2008 – 23 years, 0 months, 30 days).
·         Oldest Dover winner: Harry Gant (05/31/1992 – 52 years, 4 months, 21 days).
·         Hendrick Motorsports has the most wins at Dover in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series with 18: Jimmie Johnson(10), Jeff Gordon (five), Geoff Bodine (one), Ken Schrader (one) and Ricky Rudd (one). 
·         Nine different manufacturers have won in the NSCS at Dover; led by Chevrolet with 37 victories; followed byFord with 25.
·         13 of the 91 (14.2%) NASCAR Sprint Cup Series races at Dover have been won from the Coors Light pole; the two most recent were Jimmie Johnson in 2009 and 2010.
·         The second-place starting position is the most proficient starting position in the field, producing more winners (15) than any other starting position at Dover International Speedway.    
·         28 of the 91 (30.7%) NASCAR Sprint Cup Series races at Dover have been won from the front row: 13 from the pole and 15 from second-place.
·         71 of the 91 (78%) NASCAR Sprint Cup races at Dover have been won from a top-10 starting position.
·         Five of the 91 (5.4%) NASCAR Sprint Cup Series races at Dover have been won from a starting position outside the top 20 – most recently: Tony Stewart, spring 2013 (22nd-place starting position)

Wins
·         The deepest in the field that a race winner has started at Dover is 37th, by Kyle Petty in the spring of 1995.
·         11 of the 12 active NASCAR Sprint Cup Series winners at Dover International Speedway participated in at least one or more races before visiting Victory Lane. Jimmie Johnson won at Dover in his first two appearances.     
·         Among the 12 active NSCS Dover winners Kurt Busch (22) and Matt Kenseth (14) made 10 or more attempts before their first win.
·         Kevin Harvick leads the series among active drivers with the most NASCAR Sprint Cup Series starts at Dover without visiting Victory Lane at 29.
·         One active NASCAR Sprint Cup Series driver has posted his first career win at Dover International Speedway:Martin Truex Jr. (06/04/07).

Additional Finishing Positions
·         Mark Martin leads the series in runner-up finishes at Dover with eight; followed by Dale Earnhardt with five.Jeff Gordon leads all active drivers with four.
·         Mark Martin leads the series in top-five finishes at Dover with 24; followed by Dale Earnhardt with 19.  Jeff Gordon leads all active drivers with 18.  
·         Mark Martin leads the series in top-10 finishes at Dover with 33; followed by Richard Petty, Ricky Rudd andJeff Gordon with 26 each.
·         Jimmie Johnson leads all active drivers in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series in average finishing position at Dover with a 7.889.

Track / Event Specific
·         Since the advent of electronic scoring the closest margin of victory (MOV) in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Dover International Speedway was the September 25, 2005 race won by Jimmie Johnson over Kyle Buschwith a MOV of 0.08 second.
·         There has been two NASCAR Sprint Cup Series race resulting with a green-white-checkered finish at Dover International Speedway (Scheduled No. of Laps/Actual No. of Laps): fall of 2005 (400/404) and spring of 2015 (400/405).
·         Not one of the 91 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series races at Dover International Speedway have been shortened due to weather conditions.   
·         Qualifying has been cancelled due to weather conditions in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Dover International Speedway five times: fall of 1984, spring of 2001, fall of 2003, spring of 2005 and spring of 2011.  
·         Jimmie Johnson leads all active drivers in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series in laps led at Dover with 2,999 laps led in 27 starts.

Track / Event Specific
·         If Jimmie Johnson leads one lap or more this weekend he will surpass the 3,000 laps led mark at Dover International Speedway, becoming the seventh driver in series history to lead 3,000 or more laps at a single track. Jeff Gordon is the only other active driver to accomplish the feat (Martinsville – 3,744 laps led). 

Female Competitors
·         Two female drivers have competed at Dover International Speedway in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series: Janet Guthrie and Danica Patrick.

Driver
Starting Position
Finishing Position
Driver Rating
Date
Danica Patrick
33
15
69.9
5/31/2015
Danica Patrick
13
25
59.6
9/28/2014
Danica Patrick
28
23
56.7
6/1/2014
Danica Patrick
31
29
42.8
9/29/2013
Danica Patrick
39
24
44.0
6/2/2013
Danica Patrick
38
28
42.0
9/30/2012
Averages
30.3
24.0
52.5
 
Driver
Starting Position
Finishing Position
Driver Rating
Date
Janet Guthrie
15
11
N/A
9/18/1977
Janet Guthrie
11
33
N/A
9/19/1976
Averages
13.0
22.0
  


NASCAR in Delaware
·         There have been 91 NASCAR Sprint Cup races in Delaware, all at Dover International Speedway.
Track Name
City
NSCS
Dover International Speedway
Dover
91
·         Nine drivers in NASCAR national series history have their home state recorded as Delaware; none of the nine have recorded a victory in NASCAR national series competition.

Milestones – Dover
DRIVER
HAS
NEEDS
MILESTONE
DESCRIPTION
 
 
Kasey Kahne
424
1
425th NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Consecutive Start
Kahne will attempt to post his 425th consecutive NSCS start this weekend. Kahne is eighth on the active consecutive NSCS starts list, 33 consecutive starts behind Greg Biffle (457) in seventh.
 
Jimmie Johnson
499
1
500th NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Start
Johnson will attempt to post his 500th NSCS start this weekend. Johnson is 37th on the all-time NSCS starts list, five starts behind Ryan Newman in 36th.
 
Jimmie Johnson
74
2
76th NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Win
Jimmie Johnson is eighth on the all-time NSCS wins list, two wins behind NASCAR Hall of Famer Dale Earnhardt in seventh (76 wins).
 
Tony Stewart
48
2
50th NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Win
Stewart is 12th on the all-time NSCS wins list, two wins behind NASCAR Hall of Famer Ned Jarrett in 10th (50 wins).
 
Kyle Busch
124
1
125th NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Top-Five Finish
Busch will attempt to post his 125th NSCS top-five finish this weekend. Busch is 28th on the all-time list; eight top fives behind Kevin Harvick (132) in 27th.
 
Tony Stewart
299
1
300th NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Top-10 Finish
Stewart is 17th on the all-time NSCS top-10 finishes list, two top 10s behind James Hylton in 16th (301 top 10s).
 
Jimmie Johnson
2,999
1
3,000 Laps Led Or More At A Single Track
Johnson will attempt to post his 3,000th lap led at Dover International Speedway this weekend, he needs one lap led to accomplish the feat. Johnson would become the seventh driver in series history to lead 3,000 laps or more at a track, joining Richard Petty, Cale Yarborough, Dale Earnhardt, Jeff Gordon, Rusty Wallace and Darrell Waltrip.
 
Jeff Gordon
24,872
128
25,000 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Laps Led
Gordon can become the sixth driver in NSCS history to lead 25,000 laps; joining Richard Petty, Dale Earnhardt, Cale Yarborough, David Pearson and Bobby Allison.
 
#43 car
199
1
200 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Wins
The No. 43 car is second on the all-time NSCS wins list, five wins behind the No. 11 car in first (205). The last win for the No. 43 car came at Daytona last season.
 
Chevrolet
749
1
750th NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Win
Chevrolet will attempt to post the manufacturer's 750th win in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series this weekend. Chevrolet leads the series in wins.

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